We know the question on your mind, Music City — when’s it going to get cool? Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center , we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for September, October, and November. While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what fall will bring.
Reminder: The first day of fall is on Saturday, Sept. 23.
Here’s what we can expect this fall.
Graphic via NOAA
🌡️ Temperature
Think warm. This fall, Nashville has a 33-40% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.
🌨️ Precipitation
Expect slightly more precipitation. Nashville has a 33-40% chance of seeing higher than average rainfall amounts this fall.
Savor September
Typically in Nashville, September’s temperatures fluctuate between an average low of 62.8° and an average high of 81.5°, but expect to see more of those near-80° days this year. If you aren’t a fan of the heat, we have some good news: The average high will drop ~5.9° in September. Pro tip: September has an average daily maximum UV index of 5, so don’t slack on the sunscreen.
Spend October outdoors
In October, the average high and low temps are between 69.8° and 50.7°. This is the city’s least humid month — we’re already sighing with relief. Take advantage of the agreeable temps with a visit to 12 South’s Nashville Pumpkin Company while sipping a seasonal latte from White Bison.
November numbers
Historically, average highs in November drop ~12° to 57.4°, with an average low of 40.3°. It’s also usually the first month past summer to see any snowfall — but with a greater chance of high temps this year, that might not happen. Bonus: Though Nashville is expected to see more rainfall this fall, November is the month with the least amount of rainfall historically — only averaging ~1.77 inches.