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Summer 2024 weather forecast for Nashville

Prepare for summer weather in Nashville, TN with these seasonal temperature and precipitation outlooks.

A photo of the fountain and water at Centennial Park.

Summer is almost here, weather you like it or not. | Photo by NASHtoday

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We know the question on your mind, Music City — when’s it going to get hot? Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for June, July, and August.

While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what summer will bring.

Reminder: The first day of summer is on Thursday, June 20.

A screenshot of the color coded NOAA Seasonal Temperature Outlook map.

Here’s what we can expect this summer.

Screenshot via NOAA

🌡️ Temperature

Think warm. This summer, Nashville has a 40-50% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.

🌦️ Precipitation

Expect slightly more precipitation. Nashville has a 33-40% chance of seeing above normal rainfall amounts this summer.


School’s out and it’s time to hit the pool with an average high temperature of 87° and an average low of 65°, but it’s going to feel hotter. The average heat index is 96°, so it’s important to stay hydrated and take breaks in the shade and indoors in the A/C. It could be rainier than normal this month, so pack your umbrella when going to outdoor events.


Typically in Nashville, July’s temperatures fluctuate between an average low of 70° and an average high of 90°, making it the hottest month. The average heat index comes out to about 104°. If the thought of that makes you sweat, it’s also helpful to note that July is the summer month with the most rainfall.


On average, temperatures in August are very similar to July. The average high is 89° and the average low temperature is 68°. Temperatures likely won’t significantly cool until October, so keep this list of local museums handy if you need a break from the heat.

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