Summer 2024 weather forecast for Nashville

Prepare for summer weather in Nashville, TN with these seasonal temperature and precipitation outlooks.

A photo of the fountain and water at Centennial Park.

Summer is almost here, weather you like it or not. | Photo by NASHtoday

Table of Contents

We know the question on your mind, Music City — when’s it going to get hot? Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for June, July, and August.

While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what summer will bring.

Reminder: The first day of summer is on Thursday, June 20.

A screenshot of the color coded NOAA Seasonal Temperature Outlook map.

Here’s what we can expect this summer.

Screenshot via NOAA

🌡️ Temperature

Think warm. This summer, Nashville has a 40-50% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.

🌦️ Precipitation

Expect slightly more precipitation. Nashville has a 33-40% chance of seeing above normal rainfall amounts this summer.

June

School’s out and it’s time to hit the pool with an average high temperature of 87° and an average low of 65°, but it’s going to feel hotter. The average heat index is 96°, so it’s important to stay hydrated and take breaks in the shade and indoors in the A/C. It could be rainier than normal this month, so pack your umbrella when going to outdoor events.

July

Typically in Nashville, July’s temperatures fluctuate between an average low of 70° and an average high of 90°, making it the hottest month. The average heat index comes out to about 104°. If the thought of that makes you sweat, it’s also helpful to note that July is the summer month with the most rainfall.

August

On average, temperatures in August are very similar to July. The average high is 89° and the average low temperature is 68°. Temperatures likely won’t significantly cool until October, so keep this list of local museums handy if you need a break from the heat.

More from NASHtoday
We’re asking our readers to submit their top questions about Nashville. We’ll do our best to answer them in 2026.
These city gifts are way better than a Jelly of the Month Club membership.
Whether you’re looking forward to Hanukkah, Kwanzaa, or Christmas, here are some ways you can celebrate around town this year.
It may not change for you, but if it does, expect a new pickup day starting in early February.
Billy Strings? Check. Rascal Flatts? Check. It’s not a bad idea to triple-check this list and get your concert tickets before they sell out.
From plows to color-coded routes, Nashville has outlined how it will handle whatever winter brings.
A grassroots effort is helping Middle Tennessee properties become part of a nationwide habitat network.
It’s that time of year again — Spotify Wrapped is out and so is our annual roundup of your year in local news.
Bookmark this guide for a curated list of events taking place each month that we’re most looking forward to.
Eastpoint is the new name for the mixed-use district planned on Metro-owned land along the East Bank.