We know the question on your mind, Music City — when’s it going to get cool? Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for September, October, and November. While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what fall will bring.
Reminder: The first day of fall is on Saturday, Sept. 23.
Think warm. This fall, Nashville has a 33-40% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.
Expect slightly more precipitation. Nashville has a 33-40% chance of seeing higher than average rainfall amounts this fall.
Typically in Nashville, September’s temperatures fluctuate between an average low of 62.8° and an average high of 81.5°, but expect to see more of those near-80° days this year. If you aren’t a fan of the heat, we have some good news: The average high will drop ~5.9° in September. Pro tip: September has an average daily maximum UV index of 5, so don’t slack on the sunscreen.
Spend October outdoors
In October, the average high and low temps are between 69.8° and 50.7°. This is the city’s least humid month — we’re already sighing with relief. Take advantage of the agreeable temps with a visit to 12 South’s Nashville Pumpkin Company while sipping a seasonal latte from White Bison.
Historically, average highs in November drop ~12° to 57.4°, with an average low of 40.3°. It’s also usually the first month past summer to see any snowfall — but with a greater chance of high temps this year, that might not happen. Bonus: Though Nashville is expected to see more rainfall this fall, November is the month with the least amount of rainfall historically — only averaging ~1.77 inches.