We know the question on your mind, Music City — when’s it going to get cold? Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for December, January, and February. While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what winter will bring.
Reminder: The first day of winter is on Wednesday, Dec. 21.
🌡️ Temperature
Think warm. This winter, Nashville has a 33-40% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.
🌨️ Precipitation
Expect slightly more precipitation. Nashville has a 33-40% chance of seeing higher than average snow and rainfall amounts this winter.
December’s deal
Typically in Nashville, December’s temperatures fluctuate between an average low of 35.6° and an average high of 48.9°, but expect to see those temperatures leaning on the higher side this season. If you’re a warm weather enthusiast, this month’s average relative humidity is 78%, making it the most humid month.
Jump into January
Don’t bask in the warm(er) temps for too long: January would be the time to pull out that puffer jacket. With an average high of 44.1° and low of 30.6°, January is recognized as the coldest month.
It’s also the month with the most snowfall (~4.7 days), so bundle up and head to Sevier Park or Shelby Golf Course for a day of sledding.
February’s forecast
Good news: You’ve made it to the last month of winter. Historically, average temperatures fluctuate between 49.5° and 34.7° during February in Music City. This month often sees 12.4 rainfall days, which we will likely see about the same or more of this year, so be sure to have that raincoat handy.