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Winter 2023 weather forecast for Nashville

Prepare for winter weather in Nashville, TN with these seasonal temperature and precipitation outlooks.

The downtown Nashville skyline showcasing the banks of the Cumberland River covered in snow and ice.

We’re taking a look at what the cooler season may bring.

Photo by @tony_sarria

Table of Contents

We know the question on your mind, Music City — when’s it going to get cold? Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center, we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for December, January, and February. While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what winter will bring.

Reminder: The first day of winter is on Wednesday, Dec. 21.

A map showing a predicted outlook of seasonal temperatures by colors and a corresponding key.

Here’s what we can expect this winter.

Screenshot via NOAA

🌡️ Temperature

Think warm. This winter, Nashville has a 33-40% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.

🌨️ Precipitation

Expect slightly more precipitation. Nashville has a 33-40% chance of seeing higher than average snow and rainfall amounts this winter.

December’s deal

Typically in Nashville, December’s temperatures fluctuate between an average low of 35.6° and an average high of 48.9°, but expect to see those temperatures leaning on the higher side this season. If you’re a warm weather enthusiast, this month’s average relative humidity is 78%, making it the most humid month.

Jump into January

Don’t bask in the warm(er) temps for too long: January would be the time to pull out that puffer jacket. With an average high of 44.1° and low of 30.6°, January is recognized as the coldest month.

It’s also the month with the most snowfall (~4.7 days), so bundle up and head to Sevier Park or Shelby Golf Course for a day of sledding.

February’s forecast

Good news: You’ve made it to the last month of winter. Historically, average temperatures fluctuate between 49. and 34. during February in Music City. This month often sees 12.4 rainfall days, which we will likely see about the same or more of this year, so be sure to have that raincoat handy.

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