We know the question on your mind, Music City — when’s it going to get cold?
Thanks to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center , we know what temperatures and precipitation trends to expect in our city for December, January, and February.
While exact weather conditions typically can’t be predicted more than a week in advance, here’s a seasonal outlook to help you prepare for what winter will bring.
Reminder: The first day of winter is on Thursday, Dec. 21.
Here’s what you can expect this winter.
Graphic via NOAA
🌡️ Temperature
Think warm. This winter, Nashville has a 33-40% chance of temperatures being higher than normal.
🌨️ Precipitation
Our city is predicted to experience ordinary snow and rainfall amounts for the season.
☀️ Drought
Drought conditions are expected to persist but improve this season.
December’s deal
Typically in Nashville, December’s temperatures fluctuate between an average low of 35.6° and an average high of 48.9°, but expect to see those temperatures leaning on the higher side this season.
Jump into January
Bust out the ear muffs and bundle up in January. This month’s notably consistent high speed wind of 7.9 mph contributes to the chill factor. You’ll see an average high of 44.1° and low of 30.6°, making it the coldest month historically.
It’s also the month with the most snowfall (~4.7 days), so if you’ve been putting off those new tires, now might be the time.
February’s forecast
January and February hold similar forecasts, with only a slight change in temperature. Average highs usually hit 49.5° with lows dipping to 34.7°. The good news? The chill will check out as spring begins sprouting by March.