Summer weather forecast in Nashville, TN for 2022

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There’s nothing like a summer stroll through Centennial Park. | Photo by @iamjohnjo

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Grab your sunglasses, Nashvillians — summer officially starts tomorrow. The season signals the promise of warmer days + the ever-frequent afternoon showers, so to keep you and your wardrobe prepared, we’ve put together some of the major weather trends headed our way over the next few months.

Here’s what you can expect this summer in Music City and beyond, based on predictions from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center.

🌡️ Temperature

Think warm. Expect to see warmer-than-normal temperatures across much of the US (exhibit A: This week), with the exception of the Midwest.

The predicted continuation of La Niña conditions plays a large role in the expected hotter-than-average June-August for the US, especially in the West.

In Nashville, there’s a 40-50% chance of temps being above normal through September. Usually, Nashville averages highs of 87° in June, 90° in July, and 89° in August.

🌨️ Precipitation

Don’t put away your umbrella yet. There’s an equal chance that rain will trend above or below normal this summer. Usually, Nashville averages 4” of rain in June, 3.8” in July, and 3.3” in August.

⌛ Drought

The chances of a drought developing are not likely through September 30, though it is possible for our West Tennessee neighbors.

If you’re interested in finding some solstice celebrations, try these local events:

  • Summer Solstice | Tues., June 21 | 5 a.m. | Sellars Farm State Archaeological Area | $3+ | Watch the sunrise on the longest day of the year on the 1.5-mile hike.
  • Summer Solstice Saunter | Tues., June 21 | 9-10:30 a.m. | Bells Bend Outdoor Center, 4187 Old Hickory Blvd. | Free | Enjoy the sights and sounds of nature on this guided stroll through the park.
  • Summer Solstice Celebration | Tues., June 21 | 12-1:45 p.m. | Shelby Bottoms Nature Center & Greenway, 1900 Division St. | Free | Celebrate the first day of summer with crafts, nature activities, and lemonade.
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